PLUMBBETTING · RACING
MONMOUTH PARK · FRIDAY, JULY 24, 2026
Race 1 — counting the 1s
Opening quarter order and trip roles · 9 live runners
COUNTING THE 1Sfigure mode · Equibase pace figures stand in for the call linesgap 5
INSIDE 1–360
40% · 3/3 with a count
MIDDLE 4–656
37% · 2/3 with a count
OUTSIDE 7+35
23% · 3/3 with a count
Figure mode — no call-by-call lines on this card, so the quarter is read off the pace figures. Ausplexity owns the best early number from post 2; inside 1–3 carries 40% of the early speed.
WIN% ORDER TO THE QUARTER · TRIP FLOWprojected Win% sets this official order — first over comes out of 3rd (or 4th if the 3rd is 10-1+), second over off 5th/6th by win%
| POS | HORSE | TRIP | ML | WIN% | READ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2Ausplexity | controls | 5-2 | 40.9% | Highest projected Win% — cuts it to the quarter. |
| 2 | 4April Spun | 9-5 | 36.4% | Second-highest projected Win% — into the pocket. | |
| 3 | 1Caitlin Said Run | first over | 8-1 | 6.5% | Sitting 3rd and live enough to be pulled — first horse out. |
| 4 | 8Infamy | sits in | 7-2 | 5.2% | Covered up behind the first-over move. |
| 5 | 9Natures Fury | second over | 2-1 | 5.1% | Live one of the pair (5.1%) — follows the cover for the second-over trip. |
| 6 | 5Munchkin | sits in | 10-1 | 2.3% | Left sitting when the live one took the cover. |
| 7 | 6Hurry Up Hailey | sits in | 15-1 | 1.7% | Buried behind the stack — waits for the seam. |
| 8 | 7False Witness | third over | 8-1 | 1.2% | Stacked third in the outer flow (1.2%) — follows the second-over horse. |
| 9 | 3Midnite Bust R Out | 10-1 | 0.6% |
| HORSE | PROJECTED | RAW | EARLY | FIGURE PROFILE | POST | ML |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2Ausplexity | 36 | 62 | 48 | 2 | 5-2 | |
| 4April Spun | 31 | 44 | 33 | 4 | 9-5 | |
| 5Munchkin | 25 | 35 | 29 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 1Caitlin Said Run | 13 | 23 | 30 | 1 | 8-1 | |
| 7False WitnessPOST 7 | 13 | 27 | 32 | 7 | 8-1 | |
| 8InfamyPOST 8STALE | 12 | 30 | 30 | 8 | 7-2 | |
| 3Midnite Bust R Out | 11 | 19 | 22 | 3 | 10-1 | |
| 9Natures FuryPOST 9 | 10 | 33 | 29 | 9 | 2-1 | |
| 6Hurry Up Hailey | 0 | 0 | 16 | 6 | 15-1 |
Bars run AVG PACE · TOP PACE · CLASS · AVG SPD · EARLY BIAS. Projected applies the front end: outside posts are credited up by (post − 6) ÷ divisor because a 1 from out there was earned, then a crowded post block is divided down — only one of them gets to sit on the lead.