Pick a game, get the model's number
Live odds updated 0s ago
Games
Steelers @ Saints
10/25 - 9:30 AM EDT · NFL presetdrive: TD 16% / FG 22% / none 62% · 22 possessions projected
Spread read
Model
NO +1.9
Market
NO +3.0
NO covers 53.2% · PIT covers 46.8% · model 1.1 pts off market
Total read
Model
44.5
Market
44.5
Over 50.0% · Under 50.0%
Projected final
PIT 24·NO 21
PIT wins 55.4% · confidence medium · Pace-blended projection: 44.5 more points expected · ±10.5 on the total
Betting calculator
NO +3.0 liveProfit if it wins
$90.91
Returns $190.91 total
ROI on the stake
90.9%
Decimal 1.909
Implied probability
52.4%
Break-even win rate at this price
No-vig fair probability
50.0%
Book hold 4.8%
Model win probability
53.2%
From the live model
Expected value
$1.65
Positive at this price
Market odds
via DraftKings · as of 6:45 AMNO spread
+3.0
PIT spread
-3.0
Total
O/U 44.5
Odds above are from the live feed, not a specific book — lines move and vary by book. Always confirm the number at the book before betting.
Model reads are illustrative and not betting advice. If the model and the market disagree by less than a point or two, there is usually no bet. 21+. Help: 1-800-GAMBLER.