Pick a game, get the model's number
Live odds updated 0s ago
Games
Patriots @ Seahawks
9/9 - 8:20 PM EDT · NFL presetEP 0.90 · 22 possessions projected · NFL 22-possession preset
Spread read
Model
SEA -3.0
Market
SEA -3.5
SEA covers 48.8% · NE covers 51.2%
Total read
Model
44.5
Market
44.5
Over 50.0% · Under 50.0%
Projected final
NE 21·SEA 24
SEA wins 58.4% · confidence medium · Pace-blended projection: 44.5 more points expected · ±10.5 on the total
Betting calculator
SEA -3.5 liveProfit if it wins
$95.24
Returns $195.24 total
ROI on the stake
95.2%
Decimal 1.952
Implied probability
51.2%
Break-even win rate at this price
No-vig fair probability
48.9%
Book hold 4.7%
Model win probability
48.8%
From the live model
Expected value
−$4.81
Negative at this price
Market odds
via DraftKings · as of 3:42 AMSEA spread
-3.5 (-105)
NE spread
+3.5 (-115)
Total
O/U 44.5
SEA moneyline
-180
NE moneyline
+150
Odds above are from the live feed, not a specific book — lines move and vary by book. Always confirm the number at the book before betting.
Model reads are illustrative and not betting advice. If the model and the market disagree by less than a point or two, there is usually no bet. 21+. Help: 1-800-GAMBLER.