Pick an MLB game, get the model's number
Live odds updated 0s ago
Games
Rays @ Brewers
10/23 - 8:00 PM EDT · run-environment modelRE 0.481 · 9.0 innings of variance · game-pace baseline
Moneyline read
Model
MIL -107
Market
no line
MIL wins 51.6%
Total read — run environment
Model
6.5
Market
6.5
Over 50.0% · Under 50.0%
Projected final
TB 3·MIL 3
MIL wins 51.6% · confidence low · league-average · 6.5 more runs expected · ±4.9 on the total
Betting calculator
live priceProfit if it wins
$90.91
Returns $190.91 total
ROI on the stake
90.9%
Decimal 1.909
Implied probability
52.4%
Break-even win rate at this price
No-vig fair probability
50.0%
Book hold 4.8%
Model win probability
51.6%
From the live model
Expected value
−$1.41
Negative at this price
Market odds
via DraftKings · as of 6:45 AMTotal
O/U 6.5
Odds above are from the live feed, not a specific book — lines move and vary by book. Always confirm the number at the book before betting.
Model reads are illustrative and not betting advice. If the model and the market disagree by less than a couple of points, there is usually no bet. 21+. Help: 1-800-GAMBLER.