Live football win probability and fair odds
League
Verified game feed
NCAA · 9/7 - 7:30 PM EDT
ESPN public feedSMU
0:0
9/7 - 7:30 PM EDT
Florida St
Possession
SMU
Down & distance
1st & 10
Field
75 yds to goal
Timeouts
SMU 3 · FSU 3
Last: No play posted
Model · FSU win
band 35.7%–46.7%EP 0.90 · 24 possessions projected · college seconds/150 baseline
Enter both prices
A market comparison needs both sides of the moneyline.
Live play-by-play
Newest first · 0 playsNo play-by-play has been posted for this game.
Outcome distribution
Projected final score · college model
seconds/150 baseline · 60:00 of game clock leftSMU
28
FSU
25
Winner
SMU 58.8%
Margin
3 pts
Proj. total
52.5 vs 52.5
Confidence
medium
Versus the spread
Versus the total 52.5
Pace-blended projection: 52.5 more points expected · ±10.5 on the total · projection tracks the live feed, not a guarantee.
Point spread & ticket
No-vig
—
Edge
—
EV
—
DraftKings feed · spread 3.0
Position manager
Enter the current price for both sides to calculate the original UIs’ probability-weighted hedge range.
Clock leverage
24
estimated possessions remaining
Possession count is the input casual prices often miss. Late one-score states carry extra uncertainty.